Created on November 11, 2026 Market Data Source: SDAR 10K Research
13541 Willow Run Rd
Poway, CA 92064
4 bd · 3 ba · 2,819 sqft · Sold on Jan. 13, 2022
Estimates Update
United Home Price Estimate
$1,903,690
Based on the automated model estimates below, checked on Nov. 11, 2026.
vs Last sold price $1,450,000: +$453,690 · +31.3%
This value is based on the automated valuation models (AVMs) listed below. This is a home price estimate prepared by United Home Teams, Inc. based on automated calculations from available data online. This is not a formal appraisal. Tap any model for how its value works.
Local Market Performance
92064 · Detached · October 2026
Median Sales Price$1,202,500+14.5% vs last year−5.7% vs last month
Sales to List Price Ratio97.9%+1.1% vs last year−1.4% vs last month
Months Supply of Inventory2.2 mo−21.4% vs last year−4.3% vs last month
Avg. Days on Market38 days−19.1% vs last year+46.2% vs last month
Poway detached homes had a firm October: the median price rose 14.5% year over year to $1,202,500, sellers closed at 97.9% of asking, and inventory stayed tight at 2.2 months of supply. Homes took about 38 days to sell — not rushed, but steady demand at strong prices.
Market Heat Meter
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Zillow — Zestimate®: $1,914,600 (range $1.74M – $2.13M). Well above the $1,450,000 paid in January 2022.
The best-known consumer automated valuation model (AVM) in the U.S., built from public records, MLS data, and user-submitted facts on hundreds of millions of homes.
Published accuracy: median error about 1.77% for on-market homes and about 7% for off-market homes. The wider off-market error is the honest caveat — without a live listing, the model cannot see condition or upgrades.
MLS-driven AVM
Redfin — Redfin Estimate: $1,877,406. Up about $22K since October; the lowest of the three verified headlines, though within about $42K of the other two.
Redfin is both a brokerage and a portal, so its estimate draws directly on MLS data and hundreds of data points — Redfin cites 500+ — including listing details other portals may not receive as quickly.
Published accuracy: median error about 1.85% on-market and about 7.25% off-market — very close to Zillow, with a different data emphasis.
Aggregator · Not a standalone model
Homes.com — average of 4 AVMs: $1,919,065 (range $1,672,000 – $2,535,000; values based on Sep 2026). Highest headline — and the widest spread on this page: its First American component ($2,535,000) sits far above the other three AVMs ($1,672,000–$1,774,260) and pulls the average up. Worth knowing, not hiding.
Homes.com does not run its own valuation model — it aggregates four lender-grade AVMs and averages them: Collateral Analytics $1,672,000 · ICE Mortgage Technology $1,695,000 · First American $2,535,000 · Quantarium $1,774,260.
Collateral Analytics is now part of ICE via Black Knight; ICE Mortgage Technology powers a large share of U.S. mortgage origination; First American is a title-data giant whose records cover 99% of U.S. deeds, mortgages, and foreclosures; Quantarium is an AI-driven model trained on parcel and imagery data.
Our method
United Home Price Estimate: $1,903,690.
It is the equal-weight average of the headline estimates verified on this page:
No single algorithm sees a home the way an appraiser walking through it would. Averaging independent models — consumer, MLS-driven, and aggregated — smooths out any one model’s blind spots and outliers.
Heat score · 74 / 100 · Seller's
How the 74 is built — each SDAR 10K Research input is scored 0–100 by band, then weighted:
Months Supply of Inventory — 2.2 mo Score 80 · × 40% = 32
Sales to List Price Ratio — 97.9% Score 60 · × 25% = 15
Days on market — 38 days Score 60 · × 20% = 12
Median price YoY — +14.5% Score 100 · × 15% = 15
Heat = 0.40 × Supply + 0.25 × Sales to List Price Ratio + 0.20 × DOM + 0.15 × Median YoY
Why seller’s? Prices and inventory both favor sellers: the median is up 14.5% year over year and supply is only 2.2 months. The sales-to-list ratio (97.9%) and 38 days on market score in the middle bands — buyers are paying close to asking, but they are not rushing — which holds the score at 74, just under the strong seller’s band.
Industry anchor (NAR): under 4 months of supply is a seller’s market, 4–6 balanced, over 6 a buyer’s market — which is why supply carries the largest weight.
