Created on November 8, 2026 Market Data Source: SDAR 10K Research
10962 Caminito Arcada
San Diego, CA 92131
4 bd · 3 ba · 1,499 sqft · Sold on Sep. 18, 2026
Estimates Update
United Home Price Estimate
$1,139,428
Based on the four automated model estimates below, checked on Nov. 8, 2026.
vs Last sold price $1,149,900: −$10,472 · −0.9%
This value is based on the four automated valuation models (AVMs) listed below. This is a home price estimate prepared by United Home Teams, Inc. based on automated calculations from available data online. This is not a formal appraisal. Tap any model for how its value works.
Local Market Performance
92131 · Detached · October 2026
Median Sales Price$1,700,000−17.3% vs last year+13.3% vs last month
Sales to List Price Ratio94.7%−2.8% vs last year−1.4% vs last month
Months Supply of Inventory1.8 mo0.0% vs last year−21.7% vs last month
Avg. Days on Market24 days−36.8% vs last year−40.0% vs last month
A tight market that is no longer a runaway seller’s market: only 1.8 months of supply and homes selling in about 24 days, but closing at 94.7% of asking — buyers have regained negotiating room while scarce inventory keeps good homes from sitting.
Market Heat Meter
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Zillow — Zestimate®: $1,149,800 (range $1.07M – $1.24M). Almost identical to the September sale price.
The best-known consumer automated valuation model (AVM) in the U.S., built from public records, MLS data, and user-submitted facts on hundreds of millions of homes.
Published accuracy: median error about 1.77% for on-market homes and about 7% for off-market homes. The wider off-market error is the honest caveat — without a live listing, the model cannot see condition or upgrades.
MLS-driven AVM
Redfin — Redfin Estimate: $1,190,578. Highest of the four headlines, up about $41K since the September sale.
Redfin is both a brokerage and a portal, so its estimate draws directly on MLS data and hundreds of data points — Redfin cites 500+ — including listing details other portals may not receive as quickly.
Published accuracy: median error about 1.85% on-market and about 7.25% off-market — very close to Zillow, with a different data emphasis.
CoreLogic / Cotality AVM
Realtor.com® — RealEstimate℠: $1,129,639 (the Quantarium value, shown as the headline).
Realtor.com surfaces several professional AVMs under one page. Its core engine traces to CoreLogic — now Cotality — the property-data firm whose models lenders, insurers, and appraisers have used for decades.
On this home: Collateral Analytics $1,157,000 · Cotality (CoreLogic) $1,122,033 · Quantarium $1,129,639. Seeing the professional models within ~$35K of each other is itself useful information: they are tightly clustered here.
Aggregator · Not a standalone model
Homes.com — average of 4 AVMs: $1,087,694 (range $992,000 – $1,138,000; values based on September 2026). Lowest headline — and the widest spread.
Homes.com does not run its own valuation model — it aggregates four lender-grade AVMs and averages them: Collateral Analytics $1,138,000 · ICE Mortgage Technology $992,000 · First American $1,087,000 · Quantarium $1,133,777.
Collateral Analytics is now part of ICE via Black Knight; ICE Mortgage Technology powers a large share of U.S. mortgage origination; First American is a title-data giant whose records cover 99% of U.S. deeds, mortgages, and foreclosures; Quantarium is an AI-driven model trained on parcel and imagery data. The $992K ICE figure is the outlier pulling this average down — worth knowing, not hiding.
Our method
United Home Price Estimate: $1,139,428.
It is the equal-weight average of the four headline estimates on this page:
No single algorithm sees a home the way an appraiser walking through it would. Averaging four independent models — consumer, MLS-driven, lender-grade, and aggregated — smooths out any one model’s blind spots and outliers.
Heat score · 56 / 100 · Balanced
How the 56 is built — each SDAR 10K Research input is scored 0–100 by band, then weighted:
Months Supply of Inventory — 1.8 mo Score 100 · × 40% = 40.0
Sales to List Price Ratio — 94.7% Score 0 · × 25% = 0
Days on market — 24 days Score 80 · × 20% = 16.0
Median price YoY — −17.3% Score 0 · × 15% = 0
Heat = 0.40 × Supply + 0.25 × Sales to List Price Ratio + 0.20 × DOM + 0.15 × Median YoY
Why balanced, not seller’s? Inventory still scores at the top of the scale — only 1.8 months of supply — and homes are moving in about 24 days. But price pulls the score down: sellers are closing at 94.7% of asking and the median is down sharply year over year, so buyers have real negotiating room again.
Industry anchor (NAR): under 4 months of supply is a seller’s market, 4–6 balanced, over 6 a buyer’s market — which is why supply carries the largest weight.
